Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 3:50·KC 6, IND 9

   (3:50) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right intended for 85-P.Garcon INTERCEPTED by 47-J.McGraw at IND 34. 47-J.McGraw to IND 30 for 4 yards (32-M.Hart).

   +15pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q1 · 2:09·KC 0, IND 3

   (2:09) 7-M.Cassel pass incomplete short right to 82-D.Bowe (58-G.Brackett).

   +11pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:07·KC 0, IND 6

   (1:07) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles up the middle to IND 33 for 8 yards (41-A.Bethea). FUMBLES (41-A.Bethea), RECOVERED by IND-96-K.Dawson at IND 34. 96-K.Dawson to IND 34 for no gain (67-B.Richardson).

   +10pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:24·KC 0, IND 6

   (:24) (Shotgun) 29-J.Addai up the middle to KC 38 for 1 yard (47-J.McGraw).

   +10pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q1 · 15:00·KC 0, IND 0

   6-R.Succop kicks onside 7 yards from KC 30 to KC 37, downed by KC-21-J.Arenas. PENALTY on KC-21-J.Arenas, Illegal Touch Kick, 0 yards, enforced at KC 37.

   +9pp

   IND