Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 2:48·KC 3, IND 0

   (2:48) (Shotgun) 12-B.Croyle sacked at KC 20 for -7 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis), RECOVERED by IND-96-K.Dawson at KC 23. 96-K.Dawson to KC 13 for 10 yards (60-C.Terry). Four sack yards.

   +16pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q3 · 1:29·KC 9, IND 10

   (1:29) 12-B.Croyle pass deep right to 82-D.Bowe for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Indianapolis challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 01:22.)

   +16pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q2 · 11:02·KC 0, IND 0

   (11:02) 18-P.Manning pass short left intended for 44-D.Clark INTERCEPTED by 44-J.Page (69-J.Allen) at IND 37. 44-J.Page to IND 37 for no gain (44-D.Clark). Pass tipped by Jared Allen (#69).

   +15pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:03·KC 10, IND 13

   (:03) (Shotgun) 12-B.Croyle pass short left to 21-K.Smith to IND 44 for 16 yards. Lateral to 18-S.Parker to IND 37 for 7 yards. FUMBLES, touched at IND 39, ball out of bounds at IND 39.

   +13pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:28·KC 0, IND 0

   (9:28) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne to KC 34 for 38 yards (25-G.Wesley). KC-25-G.Wesley was injured during the play.

   +12pp

   IND