Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 4:26·BUF 16, KC 17

   (4:26) 11-D.Bledsoe pass intended for 81-P.Price INTERCEPTED by 44-E.Warfield at KC 3. 44-E.Warfield ran ob at KC 22 for 19 yards. PENALTY on KC-39-R.Crockett, Clipping, 11 yards, enforced at KC 22.

   +25pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 5:00·BUF 16, KC 16

   (5:00) 10-T.Green up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BUF-59-L.Fletcher, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +15pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 7:01·BUF 16, KC 10

   (7:01) 31-P.Holmes up the middle to BUF 8 for 2 yards (59-L.Fletcher).

   +13pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q4 · 9:01·BUF 16, KC 10

   (9:01) 10-T.Green pass incomplete to 87-E.Kennison. PENALTY on BUF-21-C.Watson, Defensive Pass Interference, 36 yards, enforced at KC 45 - No Play.

   +13pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:45·BUF 16, KC 17

   (2:45) 10-T.Green up the middle to BUF 28 for 12 yards (72-C.Ahanotu).

   +11pp

   KAN