Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:02·PIT 28, DEN 31

   (:02) 1-J.Elam 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun.

   +23pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 2:45·PIT 7, DEN 20

   (2:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at 50 for -12 yards (92-E.Dumervil). FUMBLES (92-E.Dumervil) [92-E.Dumervil], RECOVERED by DEN-96-T.Crowder at 50. 96-T.Crowder for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:26·PIT 0, DEN 0

   (14:26) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle to 85-N.Washington to DEN 17 for 40 yards (25-N.Ferguson).

   +14pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q1 · 6:24·PIT 7, DEN 6

   (6:24) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 14-B.Stokley for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:46·PIT 21, DEN 28

   (2:46) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 80-C.Wilson to DEN 25 for 12 yards (25-N.Ferguson; 22-D.Foxworth).

   +11pp

   PIT