Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 11:32·SF 0, HOU 7

   (11:32) 1-M.Turk punts 44 yards to SF 10, Center-85-J.Dreessen. 83-A.Battle MUFFS catch, touched at SF 10, RECOVERED by HOU-11-A.Davis at SF 10. 11-A.Davis to SF 10 for no gain (83-A.Battle). (The punt hangtime was 5.2 seconds)

   +12pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:38·SF 21, HOU 24

   (1:38) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 84-J.Morgan to SF 16 for 10 yards (23-Du.Robinson).

   +9pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:36·SF 21, HOU 24

   (:36) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep middle intended for 88-I.Bruce INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Wilson at HOU 38. 26-E.Wilson to SF 46 for 16 yards. PENALTY on HOU-31-B.Pollard, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at SF 46.

   +9pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:36·SF 0, HOU 7

   (13:36) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass deep middle to 80-A.Johnson to HOU 44 for 18 yards (26-M.Roman).

   +8pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:49·SF 20, HOU 24

   (3:49) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep middle to 85-V.Davis for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   SFO