Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:01·NYG 0, NO 0

   (12:01) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short middle to 16-L.Moore to NYG 25 for 18 yards (41-C.Brown). Pass 13, Catch 5

   +12pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:27·NYG 17, NO 27

   (:27) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning sacked at NYG 25 for -9 yards (41-R.Harper). FUMBLES (41-R.Harper), touched at NYG 25, RECOVERED by NO-58-S.Shanle at NYG 19. 58-S.Shanle to NYG 7 for 12 yards (89-K.Boss). NYG-67-K.McKenzie was injured during the play. His return is Doubtful. The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +10pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:00·NYG 17, NO 27

   (1:00) 23-P.Thomas left tackle to NYG 1 for no gain (53-B.Kehl, 72-O.Umenyiora). PENALTY on NO, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at NYG 1. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +7pp

   NYG
4. 4
   Q1 · 7:23·NYG 0, NO 6

   (7:23) 21-M.Bell left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +6pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q1 · 2:34·NYG 0, NO 7

   (2:34) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 12-M.Colston for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 25, Catch 4 New York Giants challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 12-M.Colston to NYG 1 for 28 yards (41-C.Brown). Pass 25, Catch 3

   +6pp

   NOR