Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 7:25·TEN 16, JAX 14

   (7:25) (Shotgun) 5-K.Collins pass deep left to 12-J.Gage for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 5:59·TEN 17, JAX 14

   (5:59) 9-D.Garrard pass short right intended for 86-D.Northcutt INTERCEPTED by 29-C.Carr [92-A.Haynesworth] at JAX 28. 29-C.Carr ran ob at TEN 49 for -23 yards.

   +21pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:05·TEN 23, JAX 14

   (4:05) 5-K.Collins pass deep left to 12-J.Gage for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:55·TEN 0, JAX 0

   (14:55) 5-K.Collins pass deep left to 12-J.Gage to JAX 33 for 47 yards (29-B.Williams).

   +11pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q3 · 9:17·TEN 9, JAX 14

   (9:17) 5-K.Collins pass short middle to 81-B.Jones for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on TEN-81-B.Jones, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +8pp

   TEN