Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:43·LAC 9, NO 16

   (5:43) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short middle to 21-L.Tomlinson for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   LAC
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:01·LAC 32, NO 37

   (:01) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass incomplete deep middle to 83-V.Jackson (34-M.McKenzie).

   +13pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:18·LAC 30, NO 37

   (1:18) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep middle intended for 89-C.Chambers INTERCEPTED by 51-J.Vilma at NO 10. 51-J.Vilma to NO 18 for 8 yards (83-V.Jackson).

   +12pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q3 · 13:23·LAC 17, NO 23

   (13:23) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 12-M.Colston to LAC 37 for 49 yards (31-A.Cromartie). PENALTY on LAC-31-A.Cromartie, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at LAC 37. horse collar tackle

   +10pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:26·LAC 30, NO 37

   (2:26) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 85-A.Gates to NO 37 for 11 yards (43-K.Kaesviharn).

   +10pp

   LAC