Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 12:13·NO 7, CAR 3

   (12:13) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 88-J.Shockey to NO 41 for -5 yards (90-J.Peppers). FUMBLES (90-J.Peppers), RECOVERED by CAR-43-C.Harris at NO 43. 43-C.Harris to NO 40 for 3 yards (73-J.Evans).

   +14pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:45·NO 7, CAR 3

   (10:45) (Shotgun) 17-J.Delhomme pass short right to 89-S.Smith to NO 18 for 19 yards (43-K.Kaesviharn).

   +9pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q2 · 6:34·NO 7, CAR 10

   (6:34) 7-S.Weatherford punts 37 yards to CAR 15, Center-47-K.Houser. 84-M.Jones to CAR 39 for 24 yards (97-J.Charleston; 39-C.Reis).

   +9pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:09·NO 0, CAR 3

   (3:09) 25-R.Bush right end to 50 for 2 yards (31-R.Marshall). PENALTY on CAR-31-R.Marshall, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.

   +9pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q3 · 12:47·NO 7, CAR 19

   (12:47) 17-J.Delhomme pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   CAR