Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 2:01·CHI 21, IND 13

   (2:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 88-M.Harrison to IND 21 for 5 yards (33-C.Tillman). FUMBLES (33-C.Tillman), RECOVERED by CHI-55-L.Briggs at IND 21. 55-L.Briggs for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Indianapolis challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 01:52.)

   +27pp

   CHI
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:07·CHI 6, IND 3

   (5:07) 22-M.Forte up the middle for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   CHI
3. 3
   Q2 · 4:38·CHI 10, IND 6

   (4:38) 18-P.Manning sacked at IND 2 for -10 yards (94-M.Harrison).

   +9pp

   CHI
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:00·CHI 12, IND 6

   (3:00) (Run formation) 18-K.Orton pass deep left to 80-B.Lloyd to CHI 48 for 18 yards (23-T.Jennings).

   +7pp

   CHI
5. 5
   Q3 · 2:48·CHI 15, IND 13

   (2:48) 18-K.Orton sacked at IND 41 for -7 yards (98-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (98-R.Mathis), and recovers at IND 40. 18-K.Orton to IND 40 for no gain (79-R.Brock). Minus 6 sack yards.

   +7pp

   IND