Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 4:29·DAL 20, CAR 10

   (4:29) (Shotgun) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith pushed ob at DAL 9 for 57 yards (26-K.Hamlin). CAR-89-S.Smith was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

   +14pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:42·DAL 17, CAR 7

   (1:42) (Shotgun) 3-M.Moore pass short left intended for 89-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 42-A.Henry at DAL 42. 42-A.Henry to 50 for 8 yards (69-J.Gross).

   +10pp

   DAL
3. 3
   Q3 · 12:44·DAL 17, CAR 7

   (12:44) 3-M.Moore pass short left to 89-S.Smith to DAL 28 for 14 yards (41-T.Newman).

   +9pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q2 · 5:43·DAL 14, CAR 6

   (5:43) 3-M.Moore pass short right to 89-S.Smith for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q2 · 14:57·DAL 7, CAR 0

   (14:57) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass deep left to 81-T.Owens ran ob at DAL 36 for 16 yards.

   +7pp

   DAL