Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:24·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (7:24) 10-C.Pennington up the middle to BUF 45 for 12 yards (59-L.Fletcher, 22-N.Clements). FUMBLES (59-L.Fletcher), RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 41. 24-T.McGee to NYJ 21 for 38 yards (83-S.Moss).

   +14pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:44·NYJ 10, BUF 10

   (11:44) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe left tackle to NYJ 27 for 17 yards (20-D.Pagel). Initial pressure on QB: S.Ellis.

   +10pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:00·NYJ 0, BUF 0

   (10:00) 6-D.Brien 36 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin.

   +10pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 4:18·NYJ 16, BUF 22

   (4:18) (No Huddle) 17-Q.Carter pass to 83-S.Moss for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at BUF 32, right side.

   +10pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:06·NYJ 10, BUF 7

   (2:06) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at NYJ 26 for 26 yards (29-D.Abraham). Caught along right sideline at NYJ 28. Penalty on NYJ-25-R.Tongue, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +8pp

   BUF