Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 14:16·ATL 7, JAX 9

   (14:16) 9-D.Garrard pass to 11-R.Williams for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q3 · 2:53·ATL 7, JAX 3

   (2:53) 9-D.Garrard pass short left to 19-E.Wilford pushed ob at ATL 42 for 33 yards (41-A.Harris).

   +12pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q2 · 7:48·ATL 0, JAX 3

   (7:48) 1-M.Prater 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-47-B.Stutz, Holder-9-M.Koenen.

   +12pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 12:24·ATL 7, JAX 3

   (12:24) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard scrambles right end to ATL 38 for 11 yards (21-D.Hall).

   +12pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 1:40·ATL 7, JAX 3

   (1:40) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 86-D.Northcutt to ATL 10 for 22 yards (29-L.Sanders).

   +11pp

   JAX