Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 8:18·DET 30, DAL 30

   (8:18) 9-T.Romo pass deep middle to 81-T.Owens for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Skinny post pattern for the score from right end.

   +29pp

   DAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:14·DET 13, DAL 14

   (1:14) (Punt formation) 2-N.Harris punts 53 yards to DAL 33, Center-48-D.Muhlbach. 41-T.Newman MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DET-30-C.Schlesinger at DAL 40. 30-C.Schlesinger to DAL 40 for no gain (41-T.Newman).

   +21pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q3 · 12:31·DET 20, DAL 20

   (12:31) (Punt formation) 2-N.Harris punts 43 yards to DAL 44, Center-48-D.Muhlbach. 41-T.Newman for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. It is the Cowboys' first punt return for a TD since Reggie Swinton returned a punt for a TD vs. Denver on Nov. 22, 2001. It is also Newman's first career TD.

   +21pp

   DAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 6:36·DET 30, DAL 31

   (6:36) 8-J.Kitna pass deep middle to 11-R.Williams to DAL 37 for 24 yards (31-R.Williams).

   +19pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q3 · 13:43·DET 20, DAL 14

   (13:43) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo sacked at DET 9 for -1 yards (93-C.Smith). FUMBLES (93-C.Smith), RECOVERED by DET-53-P.Lenon at DET 6. 53-P.Lenon to DET 16 for 10 yards (21-J.Jones).

   +19pp

   DET