Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 14:13·BAL 0, NO 0

   (14:13) 31-J.Lewis left guard to BAL 47 for -2 yards (91-W.Smith). FUMBLES (91-W.Smith), RECOVERED by NO-99-H.Thomas at 50. Fumble occurred at Baltimore 47-yardline.

   +13pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:30·BAL 7, NO 0

   (4:30) 25-R.Bush pass deep right intended for 12-M.Colston INTERCEPTED by 52-R.Lewis at BAL 0. Touchback.

   +12pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:00·BAL 7, NO 0

   (7:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep right to 12-M.Colston to BAL 22 for 53 yards (21-C.McAlister).

   +11pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q1 · 11:17·BAL 0, NO 0

   (11:17) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass short middle to 87-D.Williams to NO 30 for 12 yards (22-F.Thomas).

   +10pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 12:57·BAL 0, NO 0

   (12:57) 9-D.Brees FUMBLES (Aborted) at NO 46, RECOVERED by BAL-21-C.McAlister at NO 43. 21-C.McAlister to NO 43 for no gain (78-J.Stinchcomb).

   +8pp

   BAL