Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:20·HOU 10, CIN 13

   (3:20) 8-D.Carr sacked at HOU 31 for -7 yards (90-J.Smith). FUMBLES (90-J.Smith), RECOVERED by CIN-97-J.Thornton at HOU 35. 97-J.Thornton to HOU 35 for no gain (69-C.Pitts). Play Challenged by HOU and Upheld. (Timeout #3 by HOU at 03:14.)

   +17pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q1 · 0:06·HOU 0, CIN 3

   (:06) 8-D.Carr pass to 37-D.Davis to CIN 21 for 11 yards (25-K.Ratliff). PENALTY on CIN-51-O.Thurman, Face Mask (5 Yards), 5 yards, enforced at CIN 21.

   +9pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:31·HOU 10, CIN 10

   (1:31) 9-C.Palmer pass incomplete. PENALTY on CIN-9-C.Palmer, Intentional Grounding, 24 yards, enforced at HOU 16.

   +9pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q3 · 4:45·HOU 10, CIN 10

   (4:45) 32-R.Johnson up the middle to HOU 28 for 15 yards (24-C.Brown).

   +9pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q3 · 6:58·HOU 10, CIN 10

   (6:58) 9-C.Palmer pass to 15-C.Henry to CIN 40 for 19 yards (24-C.Brown).

   +9pp

   CIN