Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:03·MIA 0, NYJ 7

   (5:03) NYJ #78 Goodwin eligible on the play. 28-C.Martin up the middle to MIA 1 for no gain. FUMBLES, recovered by NYJ-33-J.Sowell at MIA 1. Due to fourth down rule, the fumble can only be recovered by the player that fumbled. Therefore, the NYJ recovered at the MIA 1 yard line. MIA gets the ball due to Turnover on Downs.

   +9pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q4 · 12:16·MIA 7, NYJ 10

   (12:16) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass to 81-J.McCareins pushed ob at NYJ 38 for 20 yards (25-R.Howard).

   +8pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:11·MIA 0, NYJ 0

   (13:11) 10-C.Pennington pass to 81-J.McCareins pushed ob at MIA 32 for 37 yards (30-L.Schulters). Penalty on MIA-25-R.Howard, Illegal Contact, declined.

   +8pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:59·MIA 0, NYJ 7

   (3:59) 10-O.Mare 21 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.

   +8pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q3 · 2:05·MIA 0, NYJ 10

   (2:05) 11-G.Frerotte pass to 81-R.McMichael to NYJ 16 for 21 yards (24-T.Law, 50-E.Barton).

   +7pp

   MIA