Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 4:59·TB 12, NO 7

   (4:59) 26-D.McAllister right end to NO 22 for -1 yards (94-G.Spires). FUMBLES (94-G.Spires), touched at NO 22, RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at NO 18. 20-R.Barber for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +28pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q4 · 11:38·TB 20, NO 14

   (11:38) 2-A.Brooks pass intended for 82-B.Williams INTERCEPTED by 25-B.Kelly at TB 17. 25-B.Kelly to TB 27 for 10 yards (85-E.Conwell).

   +11pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q4 · 13:47·TB 20, NO 14

   (13:47) (Shotgun) 2-A.Brooks pass to 87-J.Horn to NO 45 for 22 yards (26-D.Smith). Pass 22, Run 0

   +11pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q1 · 0:51·TB 3, NO 0

   (:51) 2-C.Simms sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (91-W.Smith). FUMBLES (91-W.Smith), touched at TB 44, RECOVERED by NO-66-B.Young at TB 42. 66-B.Young to TB 42 for no gain (76-J.Wade). PENALTY on NO-91-W.Smith, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +9pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:24·TB 3, NO 6

   (7:24) 2-A.Brooks pass to 82-B.Williams for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 17, Run 0

   +9pp

   NOR