Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:17·NO 14, TB 13

   (2:17) 14-B.Johnson pass to 87-K.McCardell for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NO-90-K.Smith, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +33pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q3 · 0:30·NO 13, TB 0

   (:30) 14-B.Johnson pass intended for 89-W.Heller INTERCEPTED by 33-A.Ambrose at NO 27. 33-A.Ambrose for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q3 · 5:58·NO 7, TB 0

   (5:58) 14-B.Johnson sacked at NO 24 for -7 yards (98-W.Whitehead). FUMBLES (98-W.Whitehead), touched at NO 24, RECOVERED by NO-53-R.Knight at NO 20. 53-R.Knight to NO 20 for no gain (80-T.Yoder).

   +16pp

   NOR
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:13·NO 17, TB 14

   (:13) 3-J.Carney 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.Houser, Holder-17-M.Berger.

   +16pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:03·NO 17, TB 14

   (:03) 14-B.Johnson pass to 19-K.Johnson to TB 37 for 8 yards. Lateral to 32-M.Pittman to TB 32 for -5 yards. Lateral to 87-K.McCardell to TB 29 for -3 yards. Lateral to 14-B.Johnson to TB 25 for -4 yards. Lateral to 60-C.Coleman to TB 31 for 6 yards. Lateral to 74-C.Green to TB 25 for -6 yards (22-F.Thomas). FUMBLES (22-F.Thomas), RECOVERED by NO-22-F.Thomas at TB 25. 22-F.Thomas to TB 30 for -5 yards (14-B.Johnson).

   +14pp

   NOR