Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:14·SEA 0, NO 0

   (3:14) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass to 82-D.Jackson to NO 40 for 37 yards (20-J.Bellamy). Pass 24, Run 13

   +11pp

   SEA
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:19·SEA 0, NO 0

   (4:19) (Shotgun) 2-A.Brooks pass to 82-B.Williams to SEA 28 for 7 yards (24-B.Taylor). FUMBLES (24-B.Taylor), touched at SEA 21, RECOVERED by SEA-21-K.Lucas at SEA 21. 21-K.Lucas ran ob at SEA 24 for 3 yards (82-B.Williams). Play Challenged by NO and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by NO at 04:10.)

   +10pp

   SEA
3. 3
   Q3 · 13:10·SEA 14, NO 7

   (13:10) 26-D.McAllister left end to SEA 35 for 3 yards (34-T.Bierria). FUMBLES (34-T.Bierria), RECOVERED by SEA-57-O.Huff at SEA 31. 57-O.Huff to SEA 31 for no gain (44-M.Karney).

   +9pp

   SEA
4. 4
   Q1 · 5:45·SEA 0, NO 0

   (5:45) (Shotgun) 2-A.Brooks pass to 87-J.Horn to SEA 34 for 29 yards (98-C.Woodard). Pass 13, Run 16

   +9pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:59·SEA 14, NO 6

   (2:59) (Shotgun) 2-A.Brooks pass to 85-E.Conwell for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 6, Run 0

   +8pp

   NOR