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Back Judgealso: Alternate 67

Tony Josselyn

50 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 18, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

Slight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.

% Games Over the Total

54%

+5.6pp

league 49% · 46 priced games

Avg Total Points

45.0

-0.6

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Favorites cover well above the league rate in his games.

Favorites Cover %

63%

+14pp

league 49% · 46 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

44%

-5.3pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty + pace signals overall. Flags hit the home team noticeably more.

Penalties / Game

13.3

+0.7

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

120.9

-0.7

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

107

+1.0

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
7.1
Road
6.2

Home team gets flagged 1.3 more times than the road team (vs league -0.4).

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.