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Down Judge

Jim Mello

17 games1 seasons (20232023)Recent: Week 18, 2023

Career Averages

vs. 2015-2025 NFL average

Points / game

41.7

-3.9

Margin / game

14.7

+3.6

Penalties / game

9.9

-2.7

Penalty yards / game

87

-19

Betting Tendencies

league: O 48.7% · Fav 48.9%

Over / Under

Over 44% of the time -5.0pp

7 Over · 9 Under · 0 push · 16 games

Favorite Cover %

60% +11pp

9 fav covered · 6 dog covered · 1 push

Game-Flow Profile

league: 68.4 pass / 53.3 rush

Pass att / game

65.1

-3.3

both teams combined

Rush att / game

55.2

+1.9

both teams combined

Pass/Rush ratio

1.18

balanced

Fantasy Outlook

league: 488 pass · 229 rush · 4.8 TD

Passing yds / game

451

-37

both teams combined

Rushing yds / game

226

-3.0

both teams combined

Total TDs / game

4.4

-0.4

High passing yards + TDs vs the league average hints at fantasy-friendly game scripts; low values suggest defensive struggles.

Recent Games Worked

DateMatchupTotal
Jan 7, 2024PHI@NYG102737
Dec 31, 2023LAC@DEN91625
Dec 23, 2023CIN@PIT113445
Dec 17, 2023DAL@BUF103141
Dec 10, 2023MIN@LVR303
Dec 3, 2023IND@TEN312859
Nov 19, 2023TAM@SFO142741
Nov 12, 2023ATL@ARI232548
Nov 6, 2023LAC@NYJ27633
Oct 29, 2023NOR@IND382765

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games + team_game_stats. Penalty + game-flow averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available.