Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 12:27·DET 6, MIN 7

   (12:27) 20-M.Williams right end to DET 21 for -1 yards (32-D.Bly). FUMBLES (32-D.Bly), RECOVERED by DET-32-D.Bly at DET 21. 32-D.Bly to MIN 35 for 44 yards. Lateral to 25-C.Harris for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by MIN and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by MIN at 12:11.)

   +30pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:36·DET 7, MIN 16

   (2:36) 3-J.Harrington pass intended for 81-A.Hakim INTERCEPTED by 21-C.Chavous at DET 32. 21-C.Chavous for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   MIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 5:04·DET 7, MIN 7

   (5:04) (Shotgun) 11-D.Culpepper pass to 20-M.Williams pushed ob at DET 1 for 19 yards (45-Bri.Walker).

   +13pp

   MIN
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:43·DET 0, MIN 7

   (3:43) 3-J.Harrington pass intended for 81-A.Hakim INTERCEPTED by 29-B.Williams at MIN 3. 29-B.Williams to MIN 14 for 11 yards (33-O.Gary).

   +12pp

   MIN
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:18·DET 0, MIN 0

   (8:18) (Shotgun) 11-D.Culpepper pass to 84-R.Moss to DET 25 for 10 yards (32-D.Bly; 97-B.Bailey).

   +11pp

   MIN