Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:53·IND 21, WAS 23

   (6:53) 18-P.Manning pass to 35-R.Williams for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:07·IND 15, WAS 23

   (10:07) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 32-E.James INTERCEPTED by 26-I.Ohalete at WAS 43. 26-I.Ohalete pushed ob at WAS 47 for 4 yards (81-M.Pollard).

   +11pp

   WAS
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:48·IND 0, WAS 0

   (12:48) (Shotgun) 6-S.Matthews pass to 88-D.Thompson to IND 37 for 12 yards (50-D.Thornton).

   +11pp

   WAS
4. 4
   Q4 · 6:46·IND 21, WAS 23

   (Run formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-P.Manning pass to 83-Q.Ismail is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.

   +9pp

   WAS
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:11·IND 21, WAS 26

   (:11) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters to IND 45 for 8 yards. FUMBLES, touched at IND 47, RECOVERED by WAS-98-J.Armstead at IND 47. Walters attemped lateral.

   +8pp

   WAS