Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:29·KC 17, IND 19

   (:29) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 80-J.Woods for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-C.Jones].

   +29pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:08·KC 17, IND 20

   (:08) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle intended for 9-J.Smith-Schuster INTERCEPTED by 26-R.McLeod (5-S.Gilmore) at IND 36. 26-R.McLeod to IND 36 for no gain (87-T.Kelce).

   +20pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:57·KC 0, IND 0

   (13:57) 6-M.Haack punts 53 yards to KC 8, Center-46-L.Rhodes. 24-S.Moore MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by IND-83-K.Granson at KC 4.

   +19pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 10:04·KC 17, IND 13

   (10:04) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 9-J.Smith-Schuster pushed ob at IND 19 for 53 yards (31-B.Facyson).

   +17pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:33·KC 6, IND 10

   (3:33) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at IND 28 for -4 yards (8-C.Dunlap). FUMBLES (8-C.Dunlap) [8-C.Dunlap], touched at IND 27, RECOVERED by KC-38-L.Sneed at IND 26. 38-L.Sneed to IND 21 for 5 yards (63-D.Pinter).

   +17pp

   KAN