Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 8:24·KC 13, JAX 0

   (8:24) 34-S.Mack left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +24pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:43·KC 19, JAX 1

   (10:43) 8-M.Brunell scrambles left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:20·KC 0, JAX 0

   (14:20) 8-M.Brunell sacked at JAX 20 for -12 yards (99-D.Clemons). FUMBLES (99-D.Clemons), RECOVERED by KC-95-D.Ransom at JAX 14. 95-D.Ransom to JAX 14 for no gain (78-T.Fordham).

   +18pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:55·KC 13, JAX 1

   (12:55) (Shotgun) 8-M.Brunell pass to 87-K.McCardell to KC 21 for 44 yards (39-R.Crockett).

   +8pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 2:26·KC 13, JAX 1

   (2:26) 4-D.Stryzinski punts 48 yards to JAX 16, Center-83-K.Gammon, fair catch by 85-D.Gibson. PENALTY on JAX-27-D.Wheeler, Offensive Holding, 8 yards, enforced at JAX 16.

   +7pp

   KAN