Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:25·DET 24, TB 21

   (:25) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.

   +24pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q2 · 3:41·DET 14, TB 7

   (3:41) 66-L.Wester reported in as eligible. 22-D.Martin left end to DET 25 for -2 yards (27-G.Quin). FUMBLES (27-G.Quin), RECOVERED by DET-31-D.Hayden at DET 24. 31-D.Hayden to DET 24 for no gain (13-M.Evans).

   +16pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q4 · 9:01·DET 21, TB 14

   (9:01) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Evans [93-D.Freeney]. PENALTY on DET-31-D.Hayden, Defensive Pass Interference, 40 yards, enforced at TB 42 - No Play.

   +16pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:25·DET 7, TB 7

   (8:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 11-M.Jones to TB 5 for 38 yards (29-R.Smith).

   +15pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q3 · 6:14·DET 14, TB 7

   (6:14) 3-J.Winston sacked at DET 45 for -5 yards (40-J.Davis). FUMBLES (40-J.Davis) [40-J.Davis], RECOVERED by DET-59-T.Whitehead at DET 48. 59-T.Whitehead to TB 49 for 3 yards (76-D.Smith). FUMBLES (76-D.Smith), RECOVERED by TB-76-D.Smith at TB 49. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 3-J.Winston sacked at DET 45 for -5 yards (40-J.Davis). FUMBLES (40-J.Davis) [40-J.Davis], RECOVERED by DET-59-T.Whitehead at DET 48. 59-T.Whitehead to DET 49 for 1 yard (77-C.Benenoch).

   +14pp

   DET