Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:01·ARI 0, CAR 6

   (12:01) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at ARI 35 for -8 yards (98-S.Lotulelei). FUMBLES (98-S.Lotulelei) [98-S.Lotulelei], RECOVERED by CAR-58-T.Davis at ARI 46. 58-T.Davis for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:19·ARI 20, CAR 30

   (3:19) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left intended for 31-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 94-K.Ealy [99-K.Short] at CAR 49. 94-K.Ealy to ARI 44 for 7 yards (53-A.Shipley).

   +9pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:28·ARI 20, CAR 30

   (3:28) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right guard to CAR 41 for 4 yards (22-T.Jefferson). FUMBLES (22-T.Jefferson), RECOVERED by ARI-22-T.Jefferson at CAR 40. 22-T.Jefferson to CAR 40 for no gain (88-G.Olsen). The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +9pp

   ARI