Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 12:25·IND 0, PIT 0

   (12:25) (No Huddle) 34-De.Williams left tackle to PIT 27 for 1 yard (55-N.Irving). FUMBLES (55-N.Irving), RECOVERED by IND-99-B.Winn at PIT 27. 99-B.Winn pushed ob at PIT 25 for 2 yards (73-R.Foster). Penalty on PIT-72-C.Wallace, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +14pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 14:16·IND 0, PIT 0

   (14:16) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short middle intended for 80-C.Fleener INTERCEPTED by 95-Jar.Jones at PIT 1. 95-Jar.Jones to PIT 6 for 5 yards (13-T.Hilton).

   +12pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q1 · 15:00·IND 0, PIT 0

   1-P.McAfee kicks 73 yards from IND 35 to PIT -8. 13-Jac.Jones to PIT 11 for 19 yards (91-J.Newsome). FUMBLES (91-J.Newsome), RECOVERED by IND-30-D.Smith at PIT 11. 30-D.Smith to PIT 11 for no gain (57-T.Garvin).

   +9pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q1 · 8:14·IND 3, PIT 0

   (8:14) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 81-J.James to IND 29 for 20 yards (20-D.Butler).

   +9pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q1 · 4:11·IND 3, PIT 3

   (4:11) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short left intended for 17-G.Whalen INTERCEPTED by 25-B.Boykin (22-W.Gay) at IND 38. 25-B.Boykin to IND 37 for 1 yard (80-C.Fleener). The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +9pp

   PIT