Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 10:21·DEN 14, DET 12

   (10:21) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at DET 49 for -7 yards (48-S.Barrett). FUMBLES (48-S.Barrett) [48-S.Barrett], RECOVERED by DEN-97-M.Jackson at DET 49. 97-M.Jackson to DET 49 for no gain (71-R.Reiff).

   +26pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:13·DEN 13, DET 6

   (:13) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-D.Thomas for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DEN-88-D.Thomas, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +19pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 10:57·DEN 14, DET 12

   (10:57) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 21-A.Abdullah for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   DET
4. 4
   Q2 · 15:00·DEN 0, DET 0

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle intended for 81-O.Daniels INTERCEPTED by 27-G.Quin (92-H.Ngata) at DET 9. 27-G.Quin to DET 10 for 1 yard (68-R.Harris). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed.

   +12pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q1 · 2:24·DEN 0, DET 0

   (2:24) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 15-G.Tate INTERCEPTED by 29-B.Roby at DEN 45. 29-B.Roby to DET 36 for 19 yards (64-T.Swanson; 85-E.Ebron).

   +12pp

   DEN