Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 8:23·CLE 10, BAL 6

   (8:23) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 82-T.Smith to CLE 16 for 53 yards (23-J.Haden).

   +18pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q3 · 3:45·CLE 3, BAL 3

   (3:45) (Shotgun) 9-C.Shaw pass deep right to 18-T.Gabriel to BAL 2 for 49 yards (33-W.Hill) [57-C.Mosley]. Shaw scrambles to right and avoids pressure and finds Gabriel wide open at B26.

   +18pp

   CLE
3. 3
   Q1 · 11:25·CLE 0, BAL 0

   (11:25) 9-C.Shaw FUMBLES (Aborted) at BAL 25, RECOVERED by BAL-55-T.Suggs at BAL 27. 55-T.Suggs to BAL 27 for no gain (68-N.McDonald).

   +15pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:15·CLE 3, BAL 3

   (1:15) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at CLE 42 for -7 yards (99-P.Kruger). FUMBLES (99-P.Kruger), recovered by BAL-53-J.Zuttah at BAL 43. 53-J.Zuttah to BAL 43 for no gain (99-P.Kruger).

   +14pp

   CLE
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:40·CLE 10, BAL 12

   (7:40) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 82-T.Smith for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   BAL