Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 8:04·CLE 3, BUF 13

   (8:04) 28-T.West left end to CLE 18 for -2 yards (55-J.Hughes). FUMBLES (55-J.Hughes), RECOVERED by BUF-55-J.Hughes at CLE 18. 55-J.Hughes for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CLE-73-J.Thomas, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +18pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 8:36·CLE 3, BUF 0

   (8:36) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep left to 10-R.Woods to CLE 3 for 34 yards (22-B.Skrine). Caught in flat at CLE 3. Penalty on CLE-22-B.Skrine, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +17pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 13:05·CLE 3, BUF 0

   (13:05) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep middle intended for 14-S.Watkins INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Leonhard at CLE -9. Touchback. Receiver crossing from right.

   +16pp

   CLE
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:01·CLE 3, BUF 0

   (:01) 2-D.Carpenter 53 yard field goal is BLOCKED (23-J.Haden), Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.

   +13pp

   CLE
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:09·CLE 3, BUF 0

   (1:09) (Shotgun) 6-B.Hoyer pass deep middle intended for 12-J.Gordon INTERCEPTED by 25-D.Searcy at BUF 46. 25-D.Searcy to CLE 36 for 18 yards (19-M.Austin, 77-J.Greco). Receiver underthrown. PENALTY on BUF-97-C.Bryant, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at CLE 36.

   +10pp

   BUF