Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:36·CAR 17, TB 14

   (1:36) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass short middle to 43-B.Rainey to TB 29 for 2 yards (59-L.Kuechly). FUMBLES (59-L.Kuechly), RECOVERED by CAR-25-B.Benwikere at TB 29. 25-B.Benwikere ran ob at TB 23 for 6 yards.

   +25pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:47·CAR 17, TB 14

   (1:47) (Punt formation) 8-B.Nortman punts 54 yards to TB 25, Center-44-J.Jansen. 86-S.Patton to TB 32 for 7 yards (44-J.Jansen).

   +14pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:11·CAR 17, TB 13

   (2:11) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass short middle to 43-B.Rainey for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q3 · 1:06·CAR 10, TB 0

   (1:06) 12-J.McCown to TB 40 for -3 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at TB 40. 12-J.McCown pass intended for 82-B.Myers INTERCEPTED by 41-R.Harper at TB 40. 41-R.Harper to TB 37 for 3 yards (13-M.Evans).

   +11pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q1 · 2:10·CAR 0, TB 0

   (2:10) 12-J.McCown pass short middle intended for 87-A.Seferian-Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 20-A.Cason (59-L.Kuechly) at CAR 30. 20-A.Cason to CAR 31 for 1 yard (70-L.Mankins). Penalty on TB-69-D.Dotson, Illegal Formation, declined.

   +11pp

   CAR