Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:01·CIN 15, BAL 16

   (6:01) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Flacco scrambles to left and completes pass to Smith at C34 who runs it into end zone.

   +42pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 5:10·CIN 21, BAL 16

   (5:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep right to 18-A.Green for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. A.J. Green catches ball on deflection to himself at B25 and scores.

   +35pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:51·CIN 23, BAL 16

   (1:51) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short left to 29-J.Forsett to CIN 26 for -4 yards (20-R.Nelson).

   +11pp

   CIN
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:09·CIN 23, BAL 16

   (1:09) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at CIN 21 for -5 yards (95-W.Gilberry).

   +10pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q4 · 1:00·CIN 23, BAL 16

   (1:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at CIN 28 for -7 yards (sack split by 95-W.Gilberry and 20-R.Nelson).

   +9pp

   CIN