Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 9:24·NYG 20, DET 20

   (9:24) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 12-J.Jernigan to DET 27 for 15 yards (33-C.Greenwood).

   +43pp

   NYG
2. 2
   Q5 · 14:12·NYG 20, DET 20

   (14:12) (Shotgun) 35-A.Brown right tackle to DET 29 for 7 yards (98-N.Fairley). FUMBLES (98-N.Fairley), RECOVERED by DET-79-W.Young at DET 28. 79-W.Young to DET 28 for no gain (72-J.Pugh). NYG-35-A.Brown was injured during the play. The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +41pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:23·NYG 20, DET 20

   (:23) (Shotgun) 41-T.Riddick up the middle to DET 31 for 6 yards (97-L.Joseph).

   +35pp

   NYG
4. 4
   Q4 · 5:06·NYG 19, DET 20

   (5:06) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right intended for 80-J.Fauria INTERCEPTED by 25-W.Hill at DET 38. 25-W.Hill for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +31pp

   NYG
5. 5
   Q5 · 12:01·NYG 20, DET 20

   (12:01) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 82-R.Randle to DET 45 for 26 yards (54-D.Levy).

   +28pp

   NYG