Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:33·SF 37, NE 31

   (6:33) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short left to 15-M.Crabtree for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +21pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q4 · 6:43·SF 31, NE 31

   3-S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to SF 0. 23-L.James to NE 38 for 62 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +14pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:02·SF 7, NE 0

   (8:02) 12-T.Brady pass deep right intended for 83-W.Welker INTERCEPTED by 22-C.Rogers at SF 32. 22-C.Rogers to NE 5 for 63 yards (12-T.Brady).

   +13pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q2 · 10:59·SF 7, NE 0

   (10:59) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-D.Branch to SF 23 for 9 yards (38-D.Goldson).

   +11pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:39·SF 7, NE 0

   (7:39) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 46-D.Walker to NE 4 for 1 yard (28-S.Gregory). FUMBLES (28-S.Gregory), RECOVERED by NE-31-A.Talib at NE 5. 31-A.Talib to NE 10 for 5 yards (46-D.Walker).

   +11pp

   NWE