Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 2:24·TB 3, DEN 7

   (2:24) 5-J.Freeman pass deep middle to 19-M.Williams to DEN 23 for 40 yards (25-C.Harris).

   +11pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q2 · 5:08·TB 10, DEN 7

   (5:08) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep left intended for 83-V.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris [58-V.Miller] at DEN 46. 25-C.Harris to DEN 46 for no gain (83-V.Jackson). PENALTY on DEN-58-V.Miller, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at TB 36 - No Play.

   +10pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q2 · 13:40·TB 10, DEN 7

   (13:40) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-D.Thomas to TB 40 for 28 yards (43-A.Black).

   +9pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q3 · 14:32·TB 10, DEN 7

   (14:32) 27-K.Moreno right tackle to DEN 29 for no gain (50-D.Te'o-Nesheim; 54-L.David). PENALTY on DEN-68-Z.Beadles, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 29 - No Play.

   +7pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:04·TB 10, DEN 27

   (4:04) 5-J.Freeman pass short right intended for 83-V.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 58-V.Miller [96-M.Unrein] at TB 26. 58-V.Miller for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   DEN