Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:29·PIT 7, NYG 13

   (5:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at NYG 38 for -6 yards (72-O.Umenyiora). FUMBLES (72-O.Umenyiora), RECOVERED by NYG-59-M.Boley at NYG 30. 59-M.Boley for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Officially, a sack for 0 yards. The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +31pp

   NYG
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:41·PIT 17, NYG 20

   (10:41) (Field Goal formation) 6-S.Suisham right end to NYG 4 for -1 yards (37-M.Coe). Unsuccessful fake field goal attempt.

   +25pp

   NYG
3. 3
   Q4 · 12:56·PIT 17, NYG 20

   (12:56) 5-S.Weatherford punts 52 yards to PIT 25, Center-51-Z.DeOssie. 88-E.Sanders to NYG 12 for 63 yards (5-S.Weatherford).

   +18pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:40·PIT 24, NYG 20

   (2:40) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 88-E.Sanders to PIT 45 for 16 yards (26-A.Rolle).

   +12pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q4 · 14:16·PIT 16, NYG 20

   (14:16) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 17-M.Wallace for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   PIT