Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 5:37·DEN 17, CIN 10

   (5:37) 18-P.Manning pass short middle intended for 87-E.Decker INTERCEPTED by 23-T.Newman at CIN -1. Touchback.

   +15pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q3 · 15:00·DEN 16, CIN 3

   2-M.Nugent kicks 70 yards from CIN 35 to DEN -5. 11-T.Holliday for 105 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 0:08·DEN 17, CIN 13

   (:08) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right intended for 87-E.Decker INTERCEPTED by 23-T.Newman [22-N.Clements] at DEN 27. 23-T.Newman to DEN 27 for no gain (87-E.Decker).

   +14pp

   CIN
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:05·DEN 17, CIN 20

   (13:05) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-E.Decker to CIN 43 for 30 yards (96-C.Dunlap).

   +14pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 11:59·DEN 17, CIN 20

   (11:59) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete deep left to 88-D.Thomas (24-A.Jones). PENALTY on CIN-24-A.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, 29 yards, enforced at CIN 30 - No Play.

   +14pp

   DEN