Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 13:25·SF 10, NYJ 0

   (13:25) 6-M.Sanchez pass short right intended for 23-S.Greene INTERCEPTED by 52-P.Willis (91-R.McDonald) at NYJ 41. 52-P.Willis to NYJ 41 for no gain (74-N.Mangold). Ball tipped by SF 91 - McDonald.

   +12pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q2 · 1:22·SF 7, NYJ 0

   (1:22) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez sacked at SF 25 for 0 yards (99-Ald.Smith). FUMBLES (99-Ald.Smith) [99-Ald.Smith], RECOVERED by SF-94-J.Smith at SF 26.

   +12pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q3 · 11:17·SF 10, NYJ 0

   (11:17) 2-D.Akers 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.

   +11pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q1 · 1:11·SF 0, NYJ 0

   (1:11) 82-M.Manningham right end to NYJ 22 for 28 yards (52-D.Harris). End around

   +9pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q2 · 10:51·SF 7, NYJ 0

   (10:51) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 15-T.Tebow. 15-T.Tebow pass short right to 83-D.Epps to NYJ 48 for 9 yards (38-D.Goldson). FUMBLES (38-D.Goldson), RECOVERED by SF-22-C.Rogers at NYJ 48. 22-C.Rogers to NYJ 47 for 1 yard (29-B.Powell). The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +9pp

   SFO