Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 15:00·MIN 6, DET 0

   4-J.Hanson kicks 70 yards from DET 35 to MIN -5. 12-P.Harvin for 105 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +25pp

   MIN
2. 2
   Q3 · 13:30·MIN 19, DET 6

   (13:30) 5-N.Harris punts 41 yards to MIN 23, Center-48-D.Muhlbach. 35-M.Sherels for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   MIN
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:48·MIN 7, DET 0

   (14:48) 71-R.Reiff reported in as eligible. 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep middle to 81-C.Johnson (20-C.Cook). PENALTY on MIN-33-J.Sanford, Defensive Pass Interference, 56 yards, enforced at DET 20 - No Play. Penalty on MIN-93-K.Williams, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +9pp

   DET
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:18·MIN 7, DET 3

   (3:18) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 81-J.Simpson. PENALTY on DET-28-D.Bentley, Defensive Pass Interference, 31 yards, enforced at MIN 32 - No Play.

   +9pp

   MIN
5. 5
   Q2 · 10:06·MIN 10, DET 3

   (10:06) (Shotgun) 7-C.Ponder pass incomplete deep left to 81-J.Simpson [55-S.Tulloch]. PENALTY on DET-28-D.Bentley, Defensive Pass Interference, 26 yards, enforced at DET 49 - No Play.

   +8pp

   MIN