Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 7:48·TB 14, JAX 6

   (7:48) (Punt formation) 2-N.Harris punts 40 yards to TB 20, Center-48-J.Cain. 87-P.Parker to TB 20 for no gain (24-M.Owens). FUMBLES (24-M.Owens), RECOVERED by JAX-83-C.Cloherty at TB 8. 83-C.Cloherty for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q2 · 2:00·TB 14, JAX 20

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman sacked at TB 1 for -10 yards (52-D.Smith). FUMBLES (52-D.Smith) [52-D.Smith], RECOVERED by JAX-98-N.Collins at TB -1. TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:59·TB 0, JAX 0

   (10:59) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 82-K.Winslow to JAX 8 for 28 yards (42-C.Prosinski).

   +13pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:16·TB 14, JAX 7

   (3:16) 11-B.Gabbert pass deep middle to 89-M.Lewis to TB 2 for 62 yards (31-E.Biggers) [91-D.Bowers].

   +12pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:55·TB 7, JAX 0

   (6:55) (Punt formation) 2-N.Harris punts 46 yards to TB 30, Center-48-J.Cain. 87-P.Parker to TB 38 for 8 yards (24-M.Owens). FUMBLES (24-M.Owens), RECOVERED by JAX-37-M.Trent at TB 38. 37-M.Trent to TB 38 for no gain (33-E.Mack).

   +12pp

   JAX