Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 12:14·NE 26, WAS 20

   (12:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on WAS-91-R.Kerrigan, Defensive Holding, declined.

   +20pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 15:00·NE 14, WAS 16

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 16-B.Banks pass deep left to 89-S.Moss for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Reverse from 29 The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +18pp

   WAS
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:29·NE 34, WAS 27

   (:29) (Shotgun) 8-R.Grossman pass short middle intended for 89-S.Moss INTERCEPTED by 51-J.Mayo (58-T.White) at NE 5. 51-J.Mayo to NE 7 for 2 yards (63-W.Montgomery). The Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +18pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:17·NE 6, WAS 0

   (12:17) (Shotgun) 8-R.Grossman sacked at WAS -2 for -7 yards (93-A.Carter). FUMBLES (93-A.Carter) [93-A.Carter], RECOVERED by NE-75-V.Wilfork at WAS -2. TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:37·NE 33, WAS 27

   (4:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 83-W.Welker for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN [59-L.Fletcher].

   +15pp

   NWE