Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:56·SF 21, DET 19

   (1:56) 11-Alex Smith pass short right to 46-D.Walker for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +26pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q3 · 10:51·SF 12, DET 13

   (10:51) (Shotgun) 21-F.Gore right tackle to DET 28 for 55 yards (23-C.Houston). PENALTY on DET-23-C.Houston, Horse Collar Tackle, 14 yards, enforced at DET 28.

   +19pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:54·SF 15, DET 13

   (1:54) 11-Alex Smith pass deep middle intended for 15-M.Crabtree INTERCEPTED by 42-A.Spievey at DET 21. 42-A.Spievey to SF 49 for 30 yards (46-D.Walker).

   +18pp

   DET
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:19·SF 22, DET 19

   (1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 13-N.Burleson (22-C.Rogers).

   +16pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q1 · 13:41·SF 0, DET 0

   (13:41) 11-Alex Smith sacked at SF 32 for -7 yards (93-K.Vanden Bosch). FUMBLES (93-K.Vanden Bosch), RECOVERED by DET-93-K.Vanden Bosch at SF 32. 93-K.Vanden Bosch to SF 32 for no gain (74-J.Staley).

   +15pp

   DET