Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 0:35·BUF 13, NYG 7

   (:35) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 18-N.Roosevelt for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 4:10·BUF 24, NYG 24

   (4:10) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left intended for 13-St.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 23-C.Webster at NYG 4. 23-C.Webster to NYG 4 for no gain (13-St.Johnson). PENALTY on BUF-13-St.Johnson, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at NYG 4.

   +18pp

   NYG
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:20·BUF 6, NYG 7

   (5:20) (Shotgun) 22-F.Jackson up the middle for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 4:15·BUF 14, NYG 10

   (4:15) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 88-H.Nicks pushed ob at BUF 5 for 60 yards (29-D.Florence).

   +14pp

   NYG
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:04·BUF 24, NYG 24

   (5:04) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 86-D.Nelson to NYG 27 for 32 yards (21-K.Phillips).

   +13pp

   BUF