Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 8:17·LAC 7, NE 10

   (8:17) 69-T.Green reported in as eligible. 35-M.Tolbert right tackle to NE 1 for no gain (51-J.Mayo).

   +16pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 10:27·LAC 14, NE 20

   (10:27) 35-M.Tolbert up the middle to NE 37 for -3 yards (51-J.Mayo). FUMBLES (51-J.Mayo), RECOVERED by NE-50-R.Ninkovich at NE 39.

   +11pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 11:50·LAC 7, NE 10

   (11:50) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short middle to 83-V.Jackson to NE 26 for 28 yards (24-K.Arrington).

   +11pp

   LAC
4. 4
   Q1 · 0:24·LAC 7, NE 7

   (:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-D.Branch to LAC 28 for 17 yards (31-B.Sanders). LAC-95-S.Phillips was injured during the play.

   +10pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:19·LAC 7, NE 17

   (:19) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short right intended for 35-M.Tolbert INTERCEPTED by 75-V.Wilfork at NE 35. 75-V.Wilfork to LAC 29 for 36 yards (35-M.Tolbert). PENALTY on NE-32-D.McCourty, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at LAC 37. NE 75-Wilfork 1st career interception.

   +10pp

   NWE