Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·PIT 16, BUF 16

   End of regulation - 4:13 pm

   +46pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:00·PIT 16, BUF 13

   (3:00) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right intended for 13-St. Johnson INTERCEPTED by 43-T.Polamalu (22-W.Gay) at PIT 1. 43-T.Polamalu to PIT 6 for 5 yards (60-K.Urbik). Pass tipped in coverage before INT.

   +33pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q5 · 12:19·PIT 16, BUF 16

   (12:19) 9-D.Sepulveda punts 55 yards to BUF 44, Center-60-G.Warren. 28-L.McKelvin to BUF 49 for 5 yards (23-K.Lewis). FUMBLES (23-K.Lewis), recovered by BUF-29-D.Florence at BUF 34. 29-D.Florence to BUF 34 for no gain (37-A.Madison).

   +27pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q5 · 9:45·PIT 16, BUF 16

   (9:45) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at PIT 39 for -3 yards (51-J.Farrior).

   +26pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q4 · 13:26·PIT 13, BUF 10

   (13:26) 34-R.Mendenhall up the middle to PIT 29 for 8 yards (31-J.Byrd, 20-D.Whitner). FUMBLES (31-J.Byrd), RECOVERED by BUF-31-J.Byrd at PIT 23. 31-J.Byrd to PIT 23 for no gain (53-M.Pouncey).

   +25pp

   BUF