Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:25·TB 21, CIN 21

   (:25) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass deep right intended for 85-C.Ochocinco INTERCEPTED by 21-S.Piscitelli at TB 35. 21-S.Piscitelli pushed ob at CIN 34 for 31 yards (71-A.Smith).

   +40pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q3 · 1:29·TB 14, CIN 13

   2-M.Nugent kicks 68 yards from CIN 30 to TB 2. 81-M.Spurlock to TB 26 for 24 yards (56-R.Muckelroy). Cincinnati challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 2-M.Nugent kicks 68 yards from CIN 30 to TB 2. 81-M.Spurlock to TB 26 for 24 yards (56-R.Muckelroy). FUMBLES (56-R.Muckelroy), RECOVERED by CIN-24-A.Jones at TB 29. 24-A.Jones, dead ball declared at TB 29 for no gain.

   +20pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:38·TB 6, CIN 7

   (14:38) 9-C.Palmer pass short left intended for 81-T.Owens INTERCEPTED by 35-C.Grimm at CIN 11. 35-C.Grimm for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 11:31·TB 7, CIN 7

   (11:31) {J.Freeman in as quarterback} 34-E.Graham up the middle to CIN 38 for 61 yards (29-L.Hall).

   +13pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:00·TB 7, CIN 7

   (3:00) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 19-M.Williams to CIN 4 for 15 yards [99-T.Johnson]. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by CIN-41-C.Ndukwe at CIN 3. 41-C.Ndukwe to CIN 3 for no gain (17-A.Benn). PENALTY on TB-68-K.Vincent, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at CIN 3.

   +13pp

   CIN