Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 5:20·SF 14, IND 12

   (5:20) (Run formation) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 15-M.Crabtree to SF 46 for 2 yards (25-J.Powers). FUMBLES (25-J.Powers), RECOVERED by IND-25-J.Powers at SF 46. 25-J.Powers to SF 42 for 4 yards (88-I.Bruce). San Francisco challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 05:10.)

   +18pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:28·SF 6, IND 0

   (11:28) 21-F.Gore up the middle for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q1 · 1:18·SF 7, IND 3

   (1:18) 11-A.Smith pass deep right intended for 15-M.Crabtree INTERCEPTED by 21-B.Sanders at IND 37. 21-B.Sanders to SF 34 for 29 yards (62-C.Rachal).

   +16pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q3 · 13:31·SF 14, IND 9

   (13:31) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon to IND 48 for 32 yards (36-S.Spencer).

   +11pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q4 · 15:00·SF 14, IND 18

   (15:00) 29-J.Addai pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Handoff to J.Addai to the left side.

   +10pp

   IND