Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 8:14·MIN 13, LA 0

   (8:14) 12-K.Boller sacked at MIN 48 for -13 yards. FUMBLES [93-K.Williams], RECOVERED by MIN-69-J.Allen at MIN 48. 69-J.Allen for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. St. Louis challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 08:00.)

   +23pp

   MIN
2. 2
   Q2 · 11:56·MIN 14, LA 0

   (11:56) 39-S.Jackson right guard to MIN 2 for -1 yards (94-P.Williams). FUMBLES (94-P.Williams), RECOVERED by MIN-69-J.Allen at MIN 4. 69-J.Allen to MIN 4 for no gain (14-K.Burton). Penalty on LA-63-J.Bell, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +11pp

   MIN
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:17·MIN 0, LA 0

   (12:17) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass short middle to 12-P.Harvin to LA 30 for 22 yards (55-J.Laurinaitis).

   +10pp

   MIN
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:00·MIN 17, LA 3

   (2:00) 12-K.Boller pass short right to 46-D.Fells to MIN 3 for 5 yards (52-C.Greenway). FUMBLES (52-C.Greenway), RECOVERED by MIN-56-E.Henderson at MIN 2. 56-E.Henderson to MIN 8 for 6 yards (12-K.Boller).

   +10pp

   MIN
5. 5
   Q1 · 10:56·MIN 0, LA 0

   (10:56) 4-B.Favre pass deep right to 12-P.Harvin pushed ob at LA 5 for 24 yards (32-B.Fletcher).

   +6pp

   MIN